Sport Picks
Ilkeston vs Warrington Town
England
NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Murphy K.
55'
55'
Odunaiya D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrington Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Warrington Town lately — more wins on the board than Ilkeston.
- Warrington Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Warrington Town have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ilkeston | Warrington Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Warrington Town
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Warrington Town
1:1
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Ilkeston
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ilkeston Compare
Top Goalscorer Odunaiya D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Warrington Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Murphy K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ilkeston 10 / 100
Warrington Town 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ilkeston Warrington Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrington Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warrington Town let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Ilkeston scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Warrington Town lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ilkeston VS Warrington Town
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ilkeston
(Home) 29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3 Anstey Nomads
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Quorn
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3 Anstey Nomads
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Quorn
22 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
18 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 3
Warrington Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Warrington Town
3 : 0 South Liverpool
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
08 Sept
Warrington Town
4 : 0 Shildon
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
22 Aug
Whitby
0 : 5 Warrington Town
18 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
