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Illertissen vs Buchbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Illertissen host Buchbach in the Regionalliga Bayern. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Illertissen at 2.15 goals for, 1.07 against; Buchbach at 1.82 for, 1.61 against. Past meetings favor Illertissen slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.81) point toward Illertissen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Illertissen
20%
Draws
47%
Buchbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buchbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Buchbach haven't matched Illertissen's recent run of results.
  • Illertissen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 11%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illertissen Buchbach
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.15 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Illertissen
0:3
Oct 4, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Buchbach
4:1
Nov 30, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Illertissen
3:0
Aug 16, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Buchbach
2:0
May 11, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Buchbach
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illertissen 38 / 100
Buchbach 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illertissen Buchbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illertissen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Illertissen found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Buchbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Illertissen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Illertissen VS Buchbach
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Illertissen

(Home)
26 Sept
Vilzing
3 : 3
Illertissen
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2
Memmingen
15 Sept
1. FC Schweinfurt
0 : 3
Illertissen
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
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Buchbach

(Away)
02 Oct
Buchbach
0 : 2
Eltersdorf
29 Sept
Unterhaching
2 : 2
Buchbach
25 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 1
Buchbach
18 Sept
Buchbach
3 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 25:11 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 14:7 24
3 Vfb Eichstatt 12 6 3 3 15:15 21
4 Munich 1860 11 5 5 1 24:13 20
5 Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 15:10 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
7 Burghausen 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 22:18 16
9 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 18:18 16
10 Bayern II 11 4 3 4 14:12 15
11 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 17:16 15
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 18:26 15
13 Nurnberg II 11 4 1 6 21:17 13
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 11 3 3 5 16:24 12
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 14:23 12
16 Furth II 11 3 2 6 15:18 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10:25 10
18 TSV Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 14:20 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 10:21 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)