Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Illertissen vs Magdeburg

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Atik B.
11' Event
Breunig M.
Assist: Nollenberger A.
31' Event
Breunig M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Magdeburg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Illertissen
20%
Draws
33%
Magdeburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Illertissen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Illertissen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Illertissen taking it.
  • Illertissen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Magdeburg, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 18%
Magdeburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illertissen Magdeburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.46 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 DFB Pokal
Illertissen vs Magdeburg
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Illertissen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Magdeburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Breunig M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mathisen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illertissen 85 / 100
Magdeburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illertissen Magdeburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illertissen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Illertissen scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Magdeburg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Illertissen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Illertissen VS Magdeburg
3.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Illertissen

(Home)
07 Aug
Landsberg
2 : 2
Illertissen
31 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
24 Jul
Vfb Eichstatt
0 : 3
Illertissen
12 Jul
Illertissen
6 : 1
Young Boys Reutlingen
11 Jul
Landsberg
3 : 2
Illertissen
Page 1 of 6

Magdeburg

(Away)
08 Aug
Magdeburg
1 : 6
Braunschweig
01 Aug
Magdeburg
1 : 1
West Ham
18 Jul
Schoningen
0 : 4
Magdeburg
12 Jul
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 4
Magdeburg
17 May
Magdeburg
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0