Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Illertissen vs Sonthofen

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Feb 21, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Illertissen host Sonthofen in the Club Friendly. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sonthofen have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Illertissen have conceded 1.03 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Illertissen slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.85 vs 1.13, favoring Illertissen. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Illertissen
15%
Draws
28%
Sonthofen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Illertissen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Illertissen come out ahead of Sonthofen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Illertissen's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 20%
Sonthofen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illertissen Sonthofen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Illertissen vs Sonthofen
0:0
Jul 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Illertissen vs Sonthofen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illertissen 67 / 100
Sonthofen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illertissen Sonthofen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illertissen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonthofen let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Illertissen found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Sonthofen has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Illertissen VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Illertissen

(Home)
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2
Memmingen
15 Sept
1. FC Schweinfurt
0 : 3
Illertissen
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
29 Aug
Illertissen
0 : 2
Bayern II
Page 1 of 6

Sonthofen

(Away)
02 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0
TSV Schwabmunchen
21 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4
Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1
Memmingen
Page 1 of 6