Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Illertissen vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Qenaj E.
86' Event
Hausmann D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Illertissen in this Regionalliga Bayern matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Illertissen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Illertissen
15%
Draws
12%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Illertissen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Illertissen lately — more wins on the board than TSV Schwaben Augsburg.
  • Model gives Illertissen a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 20%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illertissen TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
2:0
May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen
2:2
Apr 4, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Illertissen Compare

Top Goalscorer Qenaj E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

TSV Schwaben Augsburg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illertissen 76 / 100
TSV Schwaben Augsburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illertissen TSV Schwaben Augsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illertissen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Schwaben Augsburg let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Illertissen found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

TSV Schwaben Augsburg lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Illertissen VS TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Illertissen

(Home)
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2
Memmingen
15 Sept
1. FC Schweinfurt
0 : 3
Illertissen
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
29 Aug
Illertissen
0 : 2
Bayern II
Page 1 of 7

TSV Schwaben Augsburg

(Away)
25 Sept
Bayern II
4 : 3
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
19 Sept
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1 : 1
Landsberg
15 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
11 Sept
Munich 1860
3 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
05 Sept
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
0 : 1
Memmingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 10 8 2 0 23:7 26
2 Memmingen 11 6 3 2 13:7 21
3 Munich 1860 9 4 5 0 19:10 17
4 Illertissen 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Unterhaching 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
6 Vfb Eichstatt 10 5 2 3 13:14 17
7 Vilzing 9 4 3 2 14:12 15
8 Burghausen 10 4 2 4 24:18 14
9 Bayern II 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
10 Bayreuth 11 4 1 6 17:18 13
11 Eltersdorf 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
12 Augsburg II 10 3 3 4 15:23 12
13 1. FC Schweinfurt 10 3 2 5 15:23 11
14 Nurnberg II 10 3 1 6 18:17 10
15 Furth II 10 3 1 6 14:17 10
16 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 11 2 3 6 11:22 9
17 TSV Aubstadt 9 2 2 5 14:16 8
18 Landsberg 9 1 4 4 9:14 7
19 Ansbach 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)