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Illescas vs Alcazar

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 game between Illescas and Alcazar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Illescas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Illescas
30%
Draws
8%
Alcazar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Illescas come out ahead of Alcazar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Illescas a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Illescas Clean Sheet 20%
Alcazar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illescas Alcazar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 1
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 0.55 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.79 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Alcazar
3:1
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Illescas
5:0
Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Illescas
1:1
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Alcazar
3:2
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Alcazar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illescas 85 / 100
Alcazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illescas Alcazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illescas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcazar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Illescas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Alcazar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Illescas VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Illescas

(Home)
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
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Alcazar

(Away)
16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3
Villarrobledo
10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0
Alcazar
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0
Alcazar
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Puertollano 38 31 5 2 88:18 98
2 Socuellamos 38 25 8 5 72:26 83
3 Villarrobledo 38 22 10 6 80:32 76
4 UD Almansa 38 20 12 6 53:36 72
5 CF Talavera 38 21 9 8 72:34 72
6 Villarrubia 38 16 10 12 48:56 58
7 CD Pedroneras 38 14 12 12 42:50 54
8 La Gineta 38 12 12 14 51:55 48
9 Atletico Ibanes 38 11 14 13 44:50 47
10 Quintanar del Rey 38 12 11 15 44:56 47
11 Manzanares 38 11 12 15 41:46 45
12 Albacete B 38 10 13 15 45:58 43
13 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 10 13 15 43:54 43
14 Hellin Deportivo 38 10 13 15 35:40 43
15 Alcazar 38 11 8 19 46:56 41
16 Mora CF 38 12 4 22 37:63 40
17 Madridejos 38 8 14 16 30:41 38
18 Illescas 38 8 12 18 39:59 36
19 Azuqueca 38 9 9 20 36:53 36
20 EF Zona 5 Albacete 38 2 9 27 34:97 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)