Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Illescas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Illescas have won more games recently than UD Talavera.
- Win probability leans Illescas's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Illescas Clean Sheet 20%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Illescas | UD Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 34 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 16 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Illescas
1:3
Dec 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs UD Talavera
3:0
Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs UD Talavera
0:0
Sep 25, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Illescas
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Illescas 85 / 100
UD Talavera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Illescas UD Talavera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Illescas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: UD Talavera conceded in 85% of 34 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Illescas scored in 60% of their last 42 outings.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Illescas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Illescas VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Illescas
(Home) 27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0 Villarrubia
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2 Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0 Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Illescas
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 9
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0 Villarrubia
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0 Socuellamos
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1 San Sebastian Reyes B
14 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1 CF Talavera
Page 1 of 5
UD Talavera
(Away) 20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2 UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3 UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3 Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0 UD Talavera
Page 1 of 7
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3 UD Talavera
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0 UD Talavera
14 Apr
Manzanares
0 : 1 UD Talavera
31 Mar
CF Talavera
0 : 0 UD Talavera
17 Mar
Conquense
3 : 1 UD Talavera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarrobledo | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 67:26 | 86 |
| 2 | UD Almansa | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 56:26 | 67 |
| 3 | Azuqueca | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:39 | 67 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 60:25 | 67 |
| 5 | Illescas | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 54:36 | 66 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 7 | Alcazar | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 50:34 | 64 |
| 8 | Quintanar del Rey | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57:60 | 54 |
| 9 | Madridejos | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 50:49 | 53 |
| 10 | Marchamalo | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 50:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Torrijos | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42:59 | 45 |
| 12 | Manzanares | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 46:51 | 44 |
| 13 | Hellin Deportivo | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 37:48 | 44 |
| 14 | UD Talavera | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 40:46 | 43 |
| 15 | Atletico Ibanes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 35:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Socuellamos | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:58 | 40 |
| 17 | Tomelloso | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 43:57 | 40 |
| 18 | La Gineta | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 41:63 | 39 |
| 19 | CD Carranque | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 23:63 | 30 |
| 20 | Puertollano B | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 38:78 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
