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Illescas vs Villarrubia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ramos Moreno A.
80' Event
Moreno D.
83'
Martin M.

AI Match Summary

Illescas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Illescas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Illescas
35%
Draws
14%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villarrubia lately — more wins on the board than Illescas.
  • Illescas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Illescas Clean Sheet 68%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illescas Villarrubia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villarrubia
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villarrubia
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Illescas
2:3
May 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villarrubia
0:0
Apr 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Illescas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Illescas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos Moreno A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Villarrubia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illescas 95 / 100
Villarrubia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illescas Villarrubia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illescas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Illescas remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Villarrubia let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Illescas found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Illescas VS Villarrubia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Illescas

(Home)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
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Villarrubia

(Away)
04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1
Torrijos
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)