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Ilvamaddalena vs Aprilia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Ilvamaddalena host Aprilia in the Serie D - Group G 2022/2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Aprilia have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Ilvamaddalena have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Ilvamaddalena have won 1 to Aprilia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 1.06) back Ilvamaddalena to edge this. Ilvamaddalena in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ilvamaddalena
28%
Draws
50%
Aprilia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ilvamaddalena has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aprilia.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Aprilia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ilvamaddalena Clean Sheet 20%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilvamaddalena Aprilia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Ilvamaddalena vs Aprilia
0:0
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Ilvamaddalena
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilvamaddalena 24 / 100
Aprilia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilvamaddalena Aprilia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilvamaddalena scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Aprilia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Ilvamaddalena went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aprilia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilvamaddalena VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sorrento34217653:2870
2Paganese341911456:2968
3Casertana341771057:4058
4Arzachena341761151:4057
5Lupa Frascati3413111044:2950
6Palmese 19143413101150:4449
7Cassino341381342:4547
8Real Monterotondo341291351:5545
9Sarrabus Ogliastra341271551:5443
10Tivoli Calcio3410111336:3941
11Vis Artena349141124:2841
12Portici 1906349131245:4940
13Angri341091539:5139
14Atletico Uri341091545:6239
15Ilvamaddalena348141230:3938
16Pomezia348111540:5835
17SS Nola 1925348111544:5535
18Aprilia348101634:4734