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Ilvamaddalena vs Aprilia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Ilvamaddalena Logo

Ilvamaddalena

0 - 0
FT
Aprilia Logo

Aprilia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ilvamaddalena
30%
Draws
39%
Aprilia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Aprilia haven't matched Ilvamaddalena's recent run of results.
  • Aprilia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ilvamaddalena Clean Sheet 20%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilvamaddalena Aprilia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.09 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Ilvamaddalena vs Aprilia
0:0
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Ilvamaddalena
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilvamaddalena 24 / 100
Aprilia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilvamaddalena Aprilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aprilia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilvamaddalena found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Aprilia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Ilvamaddalena has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilvamaddalena VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilvamaddalena

(Home)
11 May
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
04 May
Trastevere Calcio
4 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
27 Apr
Ilvamaddalena
2 : 0
Paganese
17 Apr
Real Monterotondo
1 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
13 Apr
Ilvamaddalena
0 : 3
Guidonia 1937
Page 1 of 7

Aprilia

(Away)
07 May
Vis Artena
2 : 2
Aprilia
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1
Casertana
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
06 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2
Aprilia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)