Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilvamaddalena vs Latte Dolce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Di Pietro D.
45' Event
Bolo F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 game between Ilvamaddalena and Latte Dolce finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilvamaddalena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ilvamaddalena
30%
Draws
47%
Latte Dolce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Latte Dolce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Latte Dolce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Latte Dolce are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ilvamaddalena Clean Sheet 16%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilvamaddalena Latte Dolce
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Ilvamaddalena vs Latte Dolce
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Ilvamaddalena
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilvamaddalena Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Pietro D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bolo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Latte Dolce Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilvamaddalena 10 / 100
Latte Dolce 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilvamaddalena Latte Dolce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latte Dolce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilvamaddalena found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Latte Dolce let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ilvamaddalena went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Latte Dolce
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilvamaddalena

(Home)
11 May
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
04 May
Trastevere Calcio
4 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
27 Apr
Ilvamaddalena
2 : 0
Paganese
17 Apr
Real Monterotondo
1 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
13 Apr
Ilvamaddalena
0 : 3
Guidonia 1937
Page 1 of 6

Latte Dolce

(Away)
07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Aranova
1 : 1
Latte Dolce
20 Sept
Latte Dolce
1 : 2
Citta di Anagni
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)