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Ilvamaddalena vs Puteolana Internapoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Dessena S.
50' Event
Okitokandjo S.

AI Match Summary

Ilvamaddalena in this Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilvamaddalena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ilvamaddalena
35%
Draws
39%
Puteolana Internapoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Puteolana Internapoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ilvamaddalena haven't matched Puteolana Internapoli's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ilvamaddalena Clean Sheet 25%
Puteolana Internapoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilvamaddalena Puteolana Internapoli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Ilvamaddalena vs Puteolana Internapoli
2:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Puteolana Internapoli vs Ilvamaddalena
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilvamaddalena Compare

Top Goalscorer Dessena S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okitokandjo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Puteolana Internapoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilvamaddalena 37 / 100
Puteolana Internapoli 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilvamaddalena Puteolana Internapoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puteolana Internapoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Ilvamaddalena found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Puteolana Internapoli let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Ilvamaddalena went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilvamaddalena VS Puteolana Internapoli
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilvamaddalena

(Home)
11 May
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
04 May
Trastevere Calcio
4 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
27 Apr
Ilvamaddalena
2 : 0
Paganese
17 Apr
Real Monterotondo
1 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
13 Apr
Ilvamaddalena
0 : 3
Guidonia 1937
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Puteolana Internapoli

(Away)
03 May
Terracina
1 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
27 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
1 : 1
Cassino
17 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 4
Guidonia 1937
13 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 2
Puteolana Internapoli
06 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)