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Ilves 2 W vs TPS W

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen Women 2022 game between Ilves 2 W and TPS W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ilves 2 W
15%
Draws
53%
TPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • TPS W have managed 1.59 goals a game lately — Ilves 2 W are scoring more at 2.07.
  • Model gives TPS W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkonen Women 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TPS W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ilves 2 W Clean Sheet 20%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves 2 W TPS W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs TPS W
0:5
Jun 14, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Ilves 2 W
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Ilves 2 W
3:0
Sep 11, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs TPS W
1:3
Aug 27, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Ilves 2 W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 2 W 24 / 100
TPS W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves 2 W TPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves 2 W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: TPS W conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ilves 2 W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS TPS W
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves 2 W

(Home)
19 Oct
Ilves 2 W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
13 Oct
Pallo-Iirot W
0 : 3
Ilves 2 W
06 Oct
Ilves 2 W
1 : 5
Lahti W
28 Sept
EBK W
3 : 2
Ilves 2 W
21 Sept
Ilves 2 W
8 : 2
VJS W
Page 1 of 6

TPS W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TPS W 24 18 1 5 47:17 55
2 Keski-Uusimaa W 24 13 5 6 38:26 44
3 JyPK W 24 13 4 7 37:20 43
4 Ilves 2 W 24 9 5 10 33:35 32
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women 2023 (Main)