Sport Picks

Ilves vs Stjarnan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Conference League Tammelan Stadion, Tampere

Ilves

Thu, Jul 30, 2026

3 - 1

04:00 PM

Stjarnan

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Multala O.

39'

Gunnarsson J.

46'

Sub

Wallius K. In: Bamba G.

Out: Wallius K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Ilves

15%

Draws

39%

Stjarnan

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Ilves lately — more wins on the board than Stjarnan.
Ilves are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Ilves have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ilves, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Ilves Clean Sheet 14%

Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ilves	Stjarnan
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	11
Draws	4	5
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.76	1.83
Goals Conceded	1.24	2.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Conference League

Ilves vs Stjarnan

3:1

Jul 23, 2026 Conference League

Stjarnan vs Ilves

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilo J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Miettunen T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Stjarnan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 75 / 100

Stjarnan 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ilves Stjarnan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ilves scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Ilves has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS Stjarnan

1.38 Goals Scored 2.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)

03 Oct

Ilves

3 : 0

Haka

19 Sept

TPS

0 : 3

Ilves

12 Sept

Ilves

3 : 1

Lahti

08 Sept

Ilves

2 : 0

Jaro

31 Aug

Ilves

1 : 2

HJK

Page 1 of 6

Stjarnan

(Away)

20 Sept

Hafnarfjordur

5 : 2

Stjarnan

13 Sept

Stjarnan

2 : 0

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

06 Sept

Stjarnan

2 : 2

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

31 Aug

Breidablik

0 : 2

Stjarnan

23 Aug

Stjarnan

4 : 2

Thor Akureyri

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka -

TBD -

Petrocub Hincesti -

ML Vitebsk -

TBD -

Sutjeska -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana -

TBD -

Drita -

Flora -

TBD -

TNS -

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Vardar -

TBD -

Riga FC -

Bissen -

TBD -

Gyor -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Motherwell -

TBD -

HB Torshavn -

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir -

TBD -

FK Sarajevo 2

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz -

TBD -

Mornar Bar 2

Atletic Escaldes 4

Debrecen -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk 0

Pyunik Yerevan 4

Polissya Zhytomyr -

TBD -

FC Copenhagen -

Hearts -

TBD -

FC Hegelmann 1

Paide Linnameeskond 4

Zira FK 6

Torpedo Kutaisi 0

Penybont 0

FC Santa Coloma 4

TBD -

Rapid Vienna -

Alashkert 4

Yelimay Semey 3

TBD -

CFR Cluj -

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Mondorf 2

Dinamo Tbilisi 3

Petrovac 2

Zalgiris 5

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa -

TBD -

Valletta -

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks -

TBD -

Panathinaikos -

Spartak Trnava -

TBD -

CSKA 1948 Sofia -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg -

TBD -

Caernarfon 0

Levadia 10

LNZ Cherkasy -

TBD -

Gent -

Vllaznia 2

Malisheva 6

TBD -

Hibernian -

Bravo -

TBD -

Europa FC 0

Shkendija Tetovo 6

PAOK -

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj -

TBD -

Brann -

Dila Gori 3

Virtus 2

TBD -

Apollon Limassol -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Ludogorets -

Zilina -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Bohemians 2

St Josephs 0

Connahs Q. 2

FC Ballkani 3

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka -

TBD -

Derry City -

Vikingur 3

Stjarnan 5

Differdange 1

Ilves 3

Rangers -

TBD -

Varazdin -

TBD -

Jablonec -

Glentoran 1

RFS 4

TBD -

Vestri -

Valur -

TBD -

Zrinjski -

GAIS -

TBD -

Nordsjaelland -

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Aluminij -

TBD -

Dinamo City 4

FC Astana 2

TBD -

Pafos -

Zimbru Chisinau -

TBD -

Noah -

AF Elbasani 1

BATE 2

TBD -

Sion -

Vojvodina -

TBD -

Ajax -

Shelbourne -

TBD -

Kalju 3

Linfield 2

Zeleznicar Pancevo -

TBD -

Braga -

Neftci Baku -

TBD -

Din. Minsk 2

Sileks 1

AEK Larnaca -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Decic 1

FK Liepaja 3

TBD -

Austria Vienna -

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda -

TBD -

Velez Mostar 2

Milsami 1

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan -

TBD -

UNA Strassen 3

La Fiorita 0

FK Panevezys -

TBD -

Tobol -

Lugano -

TBD -

Dukagjini -

NSI Runavik 3

Hamrun 2

TBD -

Koper -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Quarter-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 6

Petrocub Hincesti 3

ML Vitebsk 5

Sutjeska 1

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana 2

Drita 3

Flora 2

TNS 1

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Vardar 4

Riga FC 8

Bissen 3

Gyor 7

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK 8

Coleraine 0

Motherwell 5

HB Torshavn 0

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir 1

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz 6

Atletic Escaldes 0

Debrecen 1

Pyunik Yerevan 0

Polissya Zhytomyr 4

FC Copenhagen 5

Hearts -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Zira FK 1

FC Santa Coloma 3

Rapid Vienna 9

Alashkert 1

CFR Cluj 4

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Dinamo Tbilisi 5

Zalgiris 7

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa 7

Valletta 1

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks 3

Panathinaikos 4

Spartak Trnava 0

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg 4

Levadia 3

LNZ Cherkasy 0

Gent 1

Malisheva 3

Hibernian 4

Bravo 3

Shkendija Tetovo 4

PAOK -

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj 3

Brann 5

Dila Gori 0

Apollon Limassol 7

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 4

Ludogorets 2

Zilina 3

GKS Katowice 4

Bohemians 5

FC Ballkani 4

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka 2

Derry City 0

Stjarnan 2

Ilves 3

Rangers -

TBD -

Varazdin 3

Jablonec 4

RFS 5

Vestri 2

Valur 3

Zrinjski 2

GAIS 1

Nordsjaelland 6

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB 3

FK Auda Riga 7

Aluminij 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Pafos -

Zimbru Chisinau 2

Noah 3

BATE 1

Sion 5

Vojvodina 2

Ajax 8

Shelbourne 6

Kalju 4

Zeleznicar Pancevo 0

Braga 5

Neftci Baku 3

Din. Minsk 4

AEK Larnaca 3

Beitar Jerusalem 4

FK Liepaja 1

Austria Vienna 5

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda 4

Velez Mostar 0

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

UNA Strassen 0

FK Panevezys 2

Tobol 3

Lugano 6

Dukagjini 1

NSI Runavik 4

Koper 3

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Semi-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 3

ML Vitebsk 2

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori 1

Drita 9

Flora 0

Inter Escaldes 6

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Riga FC 2

Gyor 1

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK 1

Motherwell 3

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Inter Turku 4

Vaduz 3

Debrecen 1

FC Copenhagen 8

Hearts -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Rapid Vienna 6

CFR Cluj 1

Tromso 7

TBD -

Brighton -

Zalgiris 2

Hajduk Split 9

Rakow Czestochowa 1

Hammarby 0

Panathinaikos 3

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg 1

Gent 2

Hibernian 2

Shkendija Tetovo 1

PAOK -

TBD -

Brann 4

Apollon Limassol 3

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3

GKS Katowice 2

Bohemians 2

Midtjylland 5

Rijeka 2

Ilves 1

Rangers -

TBD -

Jablonec 4

RFS 1

Valur 0

Nordsjaelland 7

Sheriff Tiraspol 2

St. Gallen 8

FK Auda Riga 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Pafos -

Noah 3

Sion 4

Ajax 5

Shelbourne 3

Braga 1

Din. Minsk 0

Beitar Jerusalem 3

Austria Vienna 4

Twente 9

Dun. Streda 3

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Qarabag Agdam 2

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

Tobol 1

Lugano 4

NSI Runavik 2

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Final

Vikingur Reykjavik 2

Borac Banja Luka 6

Shamrock Rovers 1

KuPS 2

Drita 2

Inter Escaldes 3

Klaksvik 1

Riga FC 2

Lincoln Red Imps 3

Larne 2

Motherwell 2

Freiburg 7

Gornik Zabrze 3

Monaco 7

Inter Turku 1

FC Copenhagen 4

Hearts 5

Rapid Vienna 4

Tromso 0

Brighton 4

Hajduk Split 5

Rakow Czestochowa 4

Panathinaikos 4

Hradec Kralove 3

Gent 3

Hibernian 2

PAOK 3

Brann 4

Atalanta 1

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0

Midtjylland 6

Rijeka 1

Rangers 1

Jablonec 2

Nordsjaelland 4

St. Gallen 2

Dinamo City 3

Pafos 5

Sion 5

Ajax 9

Braga 2

Austria Vienna 0

Twente 4

Qarabag Agdam 2

Getafe 4

Partizan 3

Lugano 3

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

Ilves vs Stjarnan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Ilves

Stjarnan

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ilves Compare

Stjarnan Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

Stjarnan

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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