Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Tammelan Stadion, Tampere

Stjarnan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Conference League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Ilves at 2 goals for, 1.38 against; Stjarnan at 1.88 for, 2.13 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.06 - 1.63) back Stjarnan to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Ilves

Draws

Stjarnan

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Stjarnan lately — more wins on the board than Ilves.
Ilves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Stjarnan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%

Ilves Clean Sheet 14%

Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ilves	Stjarnan
Matches Played	26	27
Wins	10	12
Draws	6	5
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	2	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 84 / 100

Stjarnan 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ilves Stjarnan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ilves scored in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Stjarnan has conceded goals in 96% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Ilves remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Stjarnan registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS Stjarnan

2 Goals Scored 1.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)

20 Jul

TPS

1 : 3

Ilves

16 Jul

Ilves

3 : 1

Differdange

08 Jul

Differdange

0 : 0

Ilves

04 Jul

Jaro

2 : 1

Ilves

01 Jul

HJK

2 : 1

Ilves

Page 1 of 6

Stjarnan

(Away)

19 Jul

KR Reykjavik

5 : 0

Stjarnan

16 Jul

Vikingur

2 : 2

Stjarnan

09 Jul

Stjarnan

3 : 1

Vikingur

03 Jul

Hafnarfjordur

2 : 2

Stjarnan

28 Jun

Stjarnan

3 : 1

KA Akureyri

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

TBD-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana4

FC Astana2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

TBD-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana1

Drita1

Borac Banja Luka-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

Riga FC-

Bissen2

Gyor6

Basaksehir-

Inter Turku-

Vaduz-

Atletic Escaldes-

Dinamo Tbilisi-

Zalgiris-

TBD-

Partizan-

UNA Strassen-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

Kalju-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

Dinamo Tirana-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

BATE-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

Din. Minsk-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

FK Liepaja-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

Brann-

Dila Gori-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

Malisheva-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

Shkendija Tetovo-

IFK Goteborg1

Levadia2

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Zira FK-

FC Santa Coloma-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians-

FC Ballkani-

TBD-

Debrecen-

Pyunik Yerevan-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

RFS-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

Derry City-

Stjarnan-

Ilves-

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

Velez Mostar-

TBD-

Semi-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Ilves vs Stjarnan

Europe

Ilves

Stjarnan

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

Stjarnan

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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