Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilves vs VPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves Logo

Ilves

0 - 1
FT
VPS Logo

VPS

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lindholm S.
Assist: Kouassivi-Benissan K.
38'
Kanga J.
46'
Sub
Ala-Myllymaki L. In: Stjopin M.
Out: Ala-Myllymaki L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

VPS in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ilves
15%
Draws
51%
VPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VPS lately — more wins on the board than Ilves.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ilves Clean Sheet 20%
VPS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves VPS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.7 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs VPS
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Ilves
3:2
Feb 7, 2026 Liiga Cup
VPS vs Ilves
1:2
Jul 14, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs VPS
3:2
May 2, 2025 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Ilves
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindholm S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 31 / 100
VPS 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves VPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

VPS has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: VPS has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS VPS
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0
Mariehamn
06 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 0
Ilves
Page 1 of 6

VPS

(Away)
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
02 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Inter Turku
25 Jul
KuPS
3 : 1
VPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 21 12 7 2 38:22 43
2 Inter Turku 21 10 9 2 28:16 39
3 Gnistan 21 10 5 6 35:28 35
4 HJK 21 10 4 7 34:26 34
5 VPS 21 9 6 6 29:21 33
6 AC Oulu 21 10 3 8 25:25 33
7 TPS 21 8 6 7 27:22 30
8 Lahti 21 8 5 8 25:19 29
9 Ilves 21 7 4 10 33:35 25
10 SJK 21 4 6 11 25:33 18
11 Jaro 21 3 6 12 18:42 15
12 Mariehamn 21 2 5 14 15:43 11
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)