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Ilves W vs KuPS W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

3 - 3
FT
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Luotonen A.
Assist: Lilja T.
51' Event
Luotonen A.
59'
Sub
Rochi G. In: Leiwo S.
Out: Rochi G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Ilves W and KuPS W finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ilves W
30%
Draws
47%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KuPS W come out ahead of Ilves W on wins alone.
  • KuPS W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 11%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W KuPS W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
3:3
Aug 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
2:4
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
2:3
Jul 30, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luotonen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rasinen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viinikka T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nurmi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 18 / 100
KuPS W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

KuPS W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Ilves W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS KuPS W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
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KuPS W

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)