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Ilves W vs Kuusysi Lahti W

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilves W play Kuusysi Lahti W in the Ykkonen Women 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ilves W averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Kuusysi Lahti W averaged 1.45 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Ilves W won 2, Kuusysi Lahti W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 8, 2013 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Ilves W and 1.19 for Kuusysi Lahti W. This points to a Ilves W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ilves W
18%
Draws
28%
Kuusysi Lahti W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Ilves W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Ilves W picked up more points recently compared to Kuusysi Lahti W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 20%
Kuusysi Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W Kuusysi Lahti W
Matches Played 36 38
Wins 23 11
Draws 1 10
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2.5 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2013 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves W vs Kuusysi Lahti W
3:3
Apr 20, 2013 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Kuusysi Lahti W vs Ilves W
1:2
Aug 1, 2009 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Kuusysi Lahti W
2:1
May 9, 2009 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Kuusysi Lahti W vs Ilves W
2:0
Oct 4, 2008 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Kuusysi Lahti W vs Ilves W
5:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 53 / 100
Kuusysi Lahti W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W Kuusysi Lahti W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ilves W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ilves W attacking → ← attacking Kuusysi Lahti W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Kuusysi Lahti W let in goals in 79% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Ilves W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kuusysi Lahti W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 43
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1TiPS W14102246:2432
2MPS W1491443:2228
3VJS W1474332:1525
4TuWe W1445520:2117
5FC Rauma W1443731:3915
6Keski-Uusimaa W1443720:3215
7KSF W1442822:3614
8Klubi 09 W1432916:4111
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Merilappi United W1291242:628
2VIFK Vaasa W1282252:1126
3Ilves W1282235:1526
4JyPK W1260628:2618
5TJK W1241723:3613
6Kuusysi Lahti W1232723:2911
7HJS W1200128:880