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Ilves W vs PK-35 Helsinki W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

3 - 1
FT
PK-35 Helsinki W Logo

PK-35 Helsinki W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ahonen H. In: Abe M.
Out: Ahonen H.
46'
Sub
Italinna E. In: Kallio I.
Out: Italinna E.
46'
Sub
Jamsa M. In: Orava M.
Out: Jamsa M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilves W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ilves W
20%
Draws
57%
PK-35 Helsinki W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PK-35 Helsinki W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • PK-35 Helsinki W haven't matched Ilves W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans PK-35 Helsinki W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 20%
PK-35 Helsinki W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W PK-35 Helsinki W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs PK-35 Helsinki W
3:1
Sep 19, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Helsinki W vs Ilves W
2:1
Oct 18, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs PK-35 Helsinki W
2:3
Aug 25, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs PK-35 Helsinki W
1:3
Jun 15, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Helsinki W vs Ilves W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lahteenmaki L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olmala H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PK-35 Helsinki W Compare

Top Goalscorer Raisanen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 24 / 100
PK-35 Helsinki W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W PK-35 Helsinki W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PK-35 Helsinki W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

PK-35 Helsinki W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Ilves W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
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PK-35 Helsinki W

(Away)
18 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 1
PK-35 Helsinki W
11 Oct
PK-35 Helsinki W
4 : 2
JyPK W
04 Oct
PK-35 Helsinki W
1 : 0
HJK Akatemia W
28 Sept
EBK W
1 : 2
PK-35 Helsinki W
24 Sept
KTP W
1 : 1
PK-35 Helsinki W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilves W 10 7 1 2 24:9 25
2 PK-35 Helsinki W 10 7 2 1 19:9 25
3 EBK W 10 5 1 4 16:15 17
4 JyPK W 10 3 1 6 13:21 13
5 KTP W 10 2 3 5 12:17 11
6 HJK Akatemia W 10 1 2 7 9:22 5
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Main)
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilves W 10 7 1 2 24:9 25
2 PK-35 Helsinki W 10 7 2 1 19:9 25
3 EBK W 10 5 1 4 16:15 17
4 JyPK W 10 3 1 6 13:21 13
5 KTP W 10 2 3 5 12:17 11
6 HJK Akatemia W 10 1 2 7 9:22 5
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Main)
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Main)