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Stadium Background

Ilves W vs VIFK Vaasa W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Olmala A.
Assist: Pulkkinen E.
46'
Sub
Hassinen S. In: Lindholm F.
Out: Hassinen S.
53' Event
Rasinen A.
Assist: Jantti C.

AI Match Summary

Ilves W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ilves W
6%
Draws
4%
VIFK Vaasa W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ilves W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • VIFK Vaasa W haven't matched Ilves W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ilves W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ilves W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 20%
VIFK Vaasa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W VIFK Vaasa W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 0
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Ilves W
0:3
Apr 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs VIFK Vaasa W
3:0
Jul 2, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Ilves W vs VIFK Vaasa W
2:0
Aug 8, 2015 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs VIFK Vaasa W
8:1
May 24, 2015 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Ilves W
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olmala A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rasinen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

VIFK Vaasa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 85 / 100
VIFK Vaasa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W VIFK Vaasa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

VIFK Vaasa W let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Away concern: VIFK Vaasa W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS VIFK Vaasa W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W12110134:933
2KuPS W1281329:1825
3HPS W1273218:924
4Aland United W1271432:1722
5Ilves W1260623:2318
6Gnistan W1240819:2912
7PK-35 Vantaa W12201012:336
8VIFK Vaasa W1201116:351