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Stadium Background

Imisli FK vs Lokbatan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Inqilably I.
66' Event
Oluwaseun T.
75' Event
Novruzov N.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2024/2025 game between Imisli FK and Lokbatan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imisli FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Imisli FK
15%
Draws
21%
Lokbatan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Imisli FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Imisli FK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Imisli FK a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Imisli FK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 68%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imisli FK Lokbatan
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Lokbatan vs Imisli FK
2:3
May 2, 2025 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Lokbatan
3:1
Feb 28, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Imisli FK
0:1
Nov 27, 2024 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Lokbatan
2:1
May 9, 2024 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Lokbatan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Inqilably I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oluwaseun T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Novruzov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imisli FK 59 / 100
Lokbatan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imisli FK Lokbatan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imisli FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokbatan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Lokbatan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Imisli FK scored in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Imisli FK VS Lokbatan
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imisli FK

(Home)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
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Lokbatan

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gabala 27 21 4 2 56:8 67
2 Imisli FK 27 15 7 5 43:20 52
3 Karvan 27 13 8 6 53:37 47
4 Mingachevir 27 9 8 10 30:36 35
5 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 10 9 35:34 34
6 MOIK Baku 27 8 6 13 29:43 30
7 Gancabasar 27 8 5 14 26:34 29
8 Baku Sporting 27 7 7 13 21:43 28
9 Difai Agsu 27 7 5 15 36:54 26
10 Lokbatan 27 5 8 14 27:47 23
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - I Liqa 2024/2025 (Relegation)