Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Quba OIK stadionu
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Solvet S.
14' Event
Mickels J.
(Penalty)
25'
Sub
Banguera E. In: Yusifli T.
Out: Banguera E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Imisli FK and Sabah Baku finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Imisli FK
44%
Draws
20%
Sabah Baku
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sabah Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sabah Baku here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 19%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imisli FK Sabah Baku
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 25
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 0.57 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku
0:5
Dec 3, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Imisli FK
0:1
May 11, 2018 I Liqa
Sabah Baku vs Imisli FK
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imisli FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Solvet S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mickels J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imisli FK 36 / 100
Sabah Baku 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imisli FK Sabah Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sabah Baku conceded in 67% of 36 recent games.

Recent resilience: Imisli FK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Imisli FK found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Imisli FK VS Sabah Baku
0.57 Goals Scored 1.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sabah Baku33246375:2578
2Qarabag Agdam33216671:2769
3Turan33178844:2759
4Neftci Baku331611657:3259
5Zira FK331314643:3653
6Araz PFK331371344:5846
7SumQayit FK331251645:4941
8Shamakhi339111331:4038
9Imisli FK337131323:4334
10Kapaz33832225:6127
11Gabala33762032:4927
12Karvan33362423:6615