Sport Picks
Imolese vs Cittadella Vis Modena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
36'
36'
Capozzi M.
75'
75'
Rizzi M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Imolese and Cittadella Vis Modena finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imolese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella Vis Modena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Imolese haven't matched Cittadella Vis Modena's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Imolese Clean Sheet 26%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Imolese | Cittadella Vis Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.08 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Imolese
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Imolese
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Imolese Compare
Top Goalscorer Capozzi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rizzi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54
Cittadella Vis Modena Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Imolese 33 / 100
Cittadella Vis Modena 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Imolese Cittadella Vis Modena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Vis Modena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Imolese scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Cittadella Vis Modena has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Imolese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Imolese VS Cittadella Vis Modena
0.67 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Imolese
(Home) 10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
02 Apr
Imolese
2 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
21 Mar
Imolese
2 : 0 Crema
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella Vis Modena
(Away) 07 Oct
Sasso Marconi
1 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
04 Oct
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Cittadella Vis Modena
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1 Correggese
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Varese FC
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Sasso Marconi
1 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
04 Oct
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Cittadella Vis Modena
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2 Cittadella Vis Modena
01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
