Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imolese vs Trevigliese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Caporali C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Imolese and Trevigliese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trevigliese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Imolese
30%
Draws
23%
Trevigliese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imolese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Imolese come out ahead of Trevigliese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Imolese a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Imolese Clean Sheet 68%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imolese Trevigliese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.84 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Trevigliese
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Imolese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imolese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Trevigliese Compare

Top Goalscorer Caporali C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imolese 68 / 100
Trevigliese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imolese Trevigliese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imolese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trevigliese has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Trevigliese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Imolese scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Imolese VS Trevigliese
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imolese

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 7

Trevigliese

(Away)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)