Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imolese vs Trevigliese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Caporali C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Imolese and Trevigliese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trevigliese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Imolese
22%
Draws
18%
Trevigliese
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Imolese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Imolese come out ahead of Trevigliese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Imolese a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Imolese Clean Sheet 68%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imolese Trevigliese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Trevigliese
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Imolese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imolese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Trevigliese Compare

Top Goalscorer Caporali C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imolese 68 / 100
Trevigliese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imolese Trevigliese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trevigliese has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Trevigliese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Imolese scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Imolese VS Trevigliese
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imolese

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 7

Trevigliese

(Away)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)