Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imolese vs Tuttocuoio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Tandara M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Imolese and Tuttocuoio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imolese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Imolese
20%
Draws
16%
Tuttocuoio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Imolese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tuttocuoio haven't matched Imolese's recent run of results.
  • Imolese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Imolese have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Imolese Clean Sheet 68%
Tuttocuoio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imolese Tuttocuoio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 0
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 0.84 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Tuttocuoio
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs Imolese
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs Imolese
0:1
Nov 6, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Tuttocuoio
5:0
Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs Imolese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imolese Compare

Top Goalscorer Tandara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tuttocuoio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imolese 95 / 100
Tuttocuoio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imolese Tuttocuoio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuttocuoio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Tuttocuoio lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Imolese scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Imolese VS Tuttocuoio
1.13 Goals Scored 0.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Imolese

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 7

Tuttocuoio

(Away)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 0
Tuttocuoio
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)