Sport Picks
Imolese vs Virtus Castelfranco
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 Stadio Romeo Galli, Imola 
AI Match Summary
Imolese in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imolese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Imolese have won more games recently than Virtus Castelfranco.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Imolese Clean Sheet 16%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Imolese | Virtus Castelfranco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.91 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.72 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:0
Nov 6, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Imolese
0:2
Jan 10, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Virtus Castelfranco
3:2
Sep 13, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Imolese
1:1
Mar 22, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Imolese 36 / 100
Virtus Castelfranco 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Imolese Virtus Castelfranco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Castelfranco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Castelfranco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Imolese found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).
Solid form: Imolese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Imolese VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Imolese
(Home) 10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1 Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0 Imolese
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10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
02 Apr
Imolese
2 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
21 Mar
Imolese
2 : 0 Crema
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Virtus Castelfranco
(Away) 07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
02 Apr
Colligiana
2 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
29 Mar
Imolese
1 : 0 Virtus Castelfranco
26 Feb
Poggibonsi
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravenna | 34 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 52:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Imolese | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 57:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 58 |
| 5 | Correggese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:48 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelvetro | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 60:57 | 50 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:55 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Mezzolara | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Rignanese | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:35 | 44 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | Colligiana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 14 | Adriese | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 46:51 | 39 |
| 15 | Ribelle | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 45:46 | 38 |
| 16 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:51 | 37 |
| 17 | Virtus Castelfranco | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25:41 | 33 |
| 18 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 24:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
