Sport Picks

Croatia

2. HNL 2016/2017

Imotski

2 - 1

Novigrad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Imotski in this 2. HNL 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imotski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Imotski

39%

Draws

31%

Novigrad

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Novigrad lately — more wins on the board than Imotski.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular 2. HNL 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%

Imotski Clean Sheet 68%

Novigrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Imotski	Novigrad
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	8	13
Draws	6	9
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	0	1.5
Goals Conceded	0	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2017 Prva NL

Imotski vs Novigrad

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Oct 22, 2016 Prva NL

Novigrad vs Imotski

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Aug 20, 2016 Prva NL

Imotski vs Novigrad

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imotski 41 / 100

Novigrad 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Imotski Novigrad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Imotski scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Novigrad conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

Difficult form: Novigrad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Novigrad

0 Goals Scored 1.5

0 Goals Conceded 1.75

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rudes	33	17	9	7	43:28	60
2	HNK Gorica	33	15	12	6	53:31	57
3	Solin	33	16	7	10	40:36	55
4	Sesvete	33	15	7	11	53:36	52
5	Dinamo Zagreb 2	33	12	11	10	39:32	47
6	Dugopolje	33	12	10	11	36:32	46
7	Sibenik	33	12	9	12	32:33	45
8	Novigrad	33	11	9	13	28:35	42
9	Lucko	33	9	11	13	34:48	38
10	Dragovoljac	33	9	9	15	30:39	36
11	Imotski	33	8	7	18	36:58	31
12	NK Zagreb	33	6	11	16	34:50	29