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Imotski vs Novigrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2016/2017
Imotski Logo

Imotski

2 - 1
FT
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Imotski in this 2. HNL 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imotski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Imotski
30%
Draws
23%
Novigrad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imotski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novigrad lately — more wins on the board than Imotski.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 2. HNL 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Imotski Clean Sheet 68%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imotski Novigrad
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2017 Prva NL
Imotski vs Novigrad
2:1
Oct 22, 2016 Prva NL
Novigrad vs Imotski
3:1
Aug 20, 2016 Prva NL
Imotski vs Novigrad
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imotski 41 / 100
Novigrad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imotski Novigrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imotski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Imotski scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Novigrad conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Novigrad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Novigrad
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Imotski

(Home)
07 Aug
Imotski
2 : 3
Mracaj Runovic
28 May
Imotski
2 : 0
Dinamo Zagreb 2
20 May
Lucko
2 : 0
Imotski
14 May
Dugopolje
1 : 1
Imotski
29 Apr
Imotski
0 : 1
NK Zagreb
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Novigrad

(Away)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 17 9 7 43:28 60
2 HNK Gorica 33 15 12 6 53:31 57
3 Solin 33 16 7 10 40:36 55
4 Sesvete 33 15 7 11 53:36 52
5 Dinamo Zagreb 2 33 12 11 10 39:32 47
6 Dugopolje 33 12 10 11 36:32 46
7 Sibenik 33 12 9 12 32:33 45
8 Novigrad 33 11 9 13 28:35 42
9 Lucko 33 9 11 13 34:48 38
10 Dragovoljac 33 9 9 15 30:39 36
11 Imotski 33 8 7 18 36:58 31
12 NK Zagreb 33 6 11 16 34:50 29
Promotion - 1. HNL 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - 2. HNL 2016/2017 (Promotion)