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Imperatriz vs Chapadinha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2024
Imperatriz Logo

Imperatriz

1 - 0
FT
Chapadinha Logo

Chapadinha

Our Tip

Match Events

73'
Alves L.
73'
Alves L.
86' Event
Erivelton
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Imperatriz in this Maranhense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imperatriz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Imperatriz
30%
Draws
8%
Chapadinha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imperatriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Imperatriz lately — more wins on the board than Chapadinha.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Imperatriz taking it.
  • Regular Maranhense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 68%
Chapadinha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperatriz Chapadinha
Matches Played 42 21
Wins 15 4
Draws 13 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.98 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Chapadinha
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 Maranhense
Chapadinha vs Imperatriz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperatriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Erivelton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Chapadinha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperatriz 95 / 100
Chapadinha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperatriz Chapadinha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperatriz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadinha let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

Imperatriz's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Recent resilience: Imperatriz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Chapadinha has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Imperatriz VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperatriz

(Home)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 9

Chapadinha

(Away)
02 Apr
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Chapadinha
27 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 3
Sampaio Correa
24 Mar
Tuntum
5 : 4
Chapadinha
16 Mar
Imperatriz
1 : 0
Chapadinha
03 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 14 9 4 1 27:9 31
2 Sampaio Correa 14 8 4 2 24:13 28
3 Imperatriz 14 7 4 3 17:12 25
4 Moto Club 14 4 5 5 15:20 17
5 Pinheiro 14 2 8 4 20:19 14
6 Tuntum 14 5 4 5 19:23 13
7 Chapadinha 14 2 3 9 11:23 9
8 Cordino EC 14 1 4 9 14:28 7
Promotion - Maranhense 2024 (Play Offs)