Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Wilson
(Penalty)
73'
73'
Black L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Imperatriz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ferroviario lately — more wins on the board than Imperatriz.
- Imperatriz are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Ferroviario arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ferroviario, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Imperatriz | Ferroviario |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Ferroviario vs Imperatriz
3:0
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Imperatriz vs Ferroviario
1:1
Nov 28, 2020 Serie C
Ferroviario vs Imperatriz
7:0
Sep 26, 2020 Serie C
Imperatriz vs Ferroviario
1:2
Aug 17, 2019 Serie C
Imperatriz vs Ferroviario
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Imperatriz Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Ferroviario Compare
Top Goalscorer Black L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Imperatriz 50 / 100
Ferroviario 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Imperatriz Ferroviario
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IMP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Imperatriz's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Ferroviario has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Imperatriz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Imperatriz VS Ferroviario
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Imperatriz
(Home) 12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1 Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Tuna Luso
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04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Ferroviario
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Tuna Luso
23 May
Imperatriz
0 : 3 Aguia De Maraba
10 May
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Trem
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Ferroviario
(Away) 26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
18 Jul
Goiatuba EC
3 : 0 Ferroviario
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Ferroviario
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
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18 Jul
Goiatuba EC
3 : 0 Ferroviario
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Ferroviario
21 Jun
Central SC
1 : 1 Ferroviario
01 Jun
Tirol
0 : 0 Ferroviario
11 May
Piaui
1 : 1 Ferroviario
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC5
Ferroviario1
Cianorte1
ASA6
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Treze PB2
America RN3
Gama4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)3
Iguatu2
Luverdense1
ABC4
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa1
Sao Luiz1
CSA2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC-
ASA-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Gama-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
ABC-
Uberlandia-
CSA-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
