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Imperatriz vs Guarany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Maranhao Jonhs

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2021 game between Imperatriz and Guarany finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imperatriz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Imperatriz
30%
Draws
23%
Guarany
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imperatriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Imperatriz haven't matched Guarany's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Imperatriz's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 68%
Guarany Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperatriz Guarany
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 13 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.91 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2021 Serie D
Guarany vs Imperatriz
1:1
Jul 10, 2021 Serie D
Imperatriz vs Guarany
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperatriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Maranhao Jonhs
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Guarany Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperatriz 59 / 100
Guarany 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperatriz Guarany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperatriz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperatriz's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Guarany let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Imperatriz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Imperatriz VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperatriz

(Home)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 7

Guarany

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarany
0 : 2
Campinense
25 Sept
Campinense
2 : 1
Guarany
20 Sept
Guarany
2 : 0
Galvez
13 Sept
Galvez
0 : 0
Guarany
04 Sept
Paragominas
2 : 1
Guarany
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castanhal 14 11 3 0 33:11 36
2 Sao Raimundo RR 14 8 5 1 28:11 29
3 Penarol 14 7 3 4 23:14 24
4 Galvez 14 7 1 6 22:24 22
5 Fast Clube 14 3 6 5 21:20 15
6 Ypiranga AP 14 3 4 7 13:22 13
7 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 14 2 3 9 12:29 9
8 Acreano 14 2 1 11 14:35 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany 14 9 1 4 24:16 28
2 Julho Esporte 14 7 3 4 18:11 24
3 Paragominas 14 6 5 3 26:19 23
4 Moto Club 14 6 3 5 20:19 21
5 Palmas 14 5 3 6 19:17 18
6 Imperatriz 14 3 8 3 14:17 17
7 SE Juventude 14 3 5 6 13:21 14
8 Tocantinopolis 14 1 4 9 17:31 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 14 9 1 4 30:13 28
2 Campinense 14 7 4 3 23:12 25
3 America RN 14 6 4 4 25:20 22
4 Atletico Cearense 14 6 3 5 22:20 21
5 Sousa 14 4 4 6 16:18 16
6 Central SC 14 3 6 5 13:17 15
7 Treze PB 14 2 9 3 18:16 15
8 Caucaia 14 2 3 9 20:51 9
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juazeirense 14 7 6 1 18:9 27
2 Itabaiana 14 7 5 2 22:13 26
3 Sergipe 14 6 5 3 16:8 23
4 Retro 14 4 8 2 17:14 20
5 Alagoinhas 14 4 6 4 15:17 18
6 Bahia de Feira 14 3 6 5 18:20 15
7 ASA 14 3 3 8 12:22 12
8 Murici 14 1 3 10 14:29 6
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecidense 14 8 4 2 19:8 28
2 Nova Mutum EC 14 8 3 3 18:11 27
3 Uniao Rondonopolis 14 7 3 4 21:15 24
4 Brasiliense 14 6 3 5 22:14 21
5 Goianesia 14 5 6 3 15:14 21
6 Porto Velho 14 2 7 5 10:16 13
7 Gama 14 2 6 6 13:18 12
8 Jaragua 14 1 2 11 6:28 5
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 14 10 3 1 24:5 33
2 Boa 14 6 6 2 20:11 24
3 Uberlandia 14 6 5 3 21:15 23
4 Caldense 14 6 3 5 26:19 21
5 Rio Branco-VN 14 5 6 3 18:13 21
6 Rio Branco ES 14 4 3 7 17:22 15
7 Patrocinense 14 1 4 9 9:22 7
8 Aguia Negra 14 1 4 9 13:41 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 14 6 6 2 20:12 24
2 Santo Andre 14 6 3 5 16:13 21
3 Cianorte 14 4 8 2 12:9 20
4 Bangu 14 5 4 5 14:16 19
5 Internacional de Limeira 14 5 4 5 11:14 19
6 Boavista 14 5 3 6 11:13 18
7 Sao Bento 14 3 5 6 10:13 14
8 Madureira 14 3 5 6 12:16 14
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Joinville 14 7 7 0 17:6 28
2 FC Cascavel 14 7 6 1 27:17 27
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 4 6 4 15:13 18
4 SER Caxias do Sul 14 4 6 4 15:13 18
5 Gremio Juventus 14 4 6 4 12:11 18
6 Marcilio Dias 14 4 6 4 13:17 18
7 Aimore 14 3 3 8 15:18 12
8 Rio Branco PR 14 1 4 9 8:27 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)