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Imperatriz vs Sampaio Correa

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Soeiro E.
36' Event
Patuta

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense game between Imperatriz and Sampaio Correa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Imperatriz
39%
Draws
30%
Sampaio Correa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sampaio Correa come out ahead of Imperatriz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Maranhense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 19%
Sampaio Correa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperatriz Sampaio Correa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 13
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Sampaio Correa
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 Serie D
Sampaio Correa vs Imperatriz
3:0
May 10, 2025 Serie D
Imperatriz vs Sampaio Correa
1:0
May 7, 2025 Maranhense
Sampaio Correa vs Imperatriz
0:2
Apr 30, 2025 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Sampaio Correa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperatriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Patuta
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sampaio Correa Compare

Top Goalscorer Soeiro E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperatriz 32 / 100
Sampaio Correa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperatriz Sampaio Correa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Imperatriz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Imperatriz scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Imperatriz VS Sampaio Correa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moto Club734010:413
2Maranhao74129:713
3Sampaio Correa725013:511
4IAPE73224:311
5Luminense73136:610
6Tuntum72328:99
7Imperatriz71332:56
8ITZ Sport70161:141