Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imperia Calcio vs Asti Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Margiotta F.
30' Event
Masawoud M.
69' Event
Bresciani D.

AI Match Summary

Asti Calcio in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asti Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Imperia Calcio
15%
Draws
59%
Asti Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Imperia Calcio have won more games recently than Asti Calcio.
  • Win probability leans Imperia Calcio's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 18%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperia Calcio Asti Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Asti Calcio
1:2
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Asti Calcio
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Imperia Calcio
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Asti Calcio
4:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Imperia Calcio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Margiotta F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Masawoud M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bresciani D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperia Calcio 36 / 100
Asti Calcio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperia Calcio Asti Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Imperia Calcio scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Asti Calcio conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Imperia Calcio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imperia Calcio VS Asti Calcio
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperia Calcio

(Home)
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
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Asti Calcio

(Away)
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fezzanese 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Saluzzo 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 AS Biellese 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Derthona FbC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
5 GSD Lascaris 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
6 Millesimo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Asti Calcio 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Alessandria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
9 Sanremese 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Imperia Calcio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Chisola 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Sestri Levante 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Gozzano 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
14 Bra 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
15 Borgosesia Calcio 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
16 Ligorna 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
17 Valenzana 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
18 Celle Varazze 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)