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Imperia Calcio vs Celle Varazze

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Balan G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Imperia Calcio and Celle Varazze finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celle Varazze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Imperia Calcio
15%
Draws
26%
Celle Varazze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Imperia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Imperia Calcio and Celle Varazze close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Imperia Calcio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperia Calcio Celle Varazze
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Celle Varazze
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Imperia Calcio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperia Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Celle Varazze Compare

Top Goalscorer Balan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperia Calcio 85 / 100
Celle Varazze 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperia Calcio Celle Varazze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperia Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperia Calcio scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Celle Varazze has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Imperia Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imperia Calcio VS Celle Varazze
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperia Calcio

(Home)
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Fezzanese
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo
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Celle Varazze

(Away)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)