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Imperia Calcio vs Fezzanese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Welbeck N.
54' Event
Margiotta F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Imperia Calcio and Fezzanese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imperia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Imperia Calcio
20%
Draws
44%
Fezzanese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Imperia Calcio come out ahead of Fezzanese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Imperia Calcio a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperia Calcio Fezzanese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Fezzanese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Welbeck N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Margiotta F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fezzanese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperia Calcio 42 / 100
Fezzanese 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperia Calcio Fezzanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Imperia Calcio scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Fezzanese has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Imperia Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imperia Calcio VS Fezzanese
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperia Calcio

(Home)
04 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Fezzanese
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Fezzanese

(Away)
04 Oct
Fezzanese
1 : 2
Valenzana
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Fezzanese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 AS Biellese 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
3 Derthona FbC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Ligorna 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
5 Asti Calcio 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Gozzano 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Saluzzo 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
8 Millesimo 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
9 Chisola 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
10 Imperia Calcio 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 GSD Lascaris 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
12 Sanremese 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
13 Fezzanese 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
14 Sestri Levante 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Borgosesia Calcio 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Bra 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Valenzana 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Celle Varazze 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)