Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Ciccone N.
28'
28'
Bresciani N.
83'
83'
Alfiero V.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Imperia Calcio and Vado finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Imperia Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Vado come out ahead of Imperia Calcio on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Imperia Calcio taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Vado Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Imperia Calcio | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.15 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Vado
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Imperia Calcio
3:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Vado
1:1
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Imperia Calcio vs Vado
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Imperia Calcio
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Imperia Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Bresciani N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vindigni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Vado Compare
Top Goalscorer Ciccone N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alfiero V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Imperia Calcio 86 / 100
Vado 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Imperia Calcio Vado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Imperia Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vado's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Imperia Calcio scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Vado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Imperia Calcio VS Vado
0.8 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Imperia Calcio
(Home) 16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2 Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0 Millesimo
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1 Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2 Asti Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0 Millesimo
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1 Celle Varazze
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2 Sanremese
02 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2 Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Vado
(Away) 20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1 Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Vado
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1 Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0 Vado
10 Aug
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Vado
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vado | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 57 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 56 |
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)
