Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imperia Calcio vs Vado

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ciccone N.
28' Event
Bresciani N.
83' Event
Alfiero V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Imperia Calcio and Vado finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Imperia Calcio
30%
Draws
34%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imperia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vado come out ahead of Imperia Calcio on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Imperia Calcio taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 10%
Vado Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperia Calcio Vado
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.88 3
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Vado
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Imperia Calcio
3:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Vado
1:1
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Imperia Calcio vs Vado
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Imperia Calcio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Bresciani N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vindigni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciccone N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alfiero V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperia Calcio 34 / 100
Vado 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperia Calcio Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperia Calcio's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Imperia Calcio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Vado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Imperia Calcio VS Vado
0.88 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperia Calcio

(Home)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Vado

(Away)
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Vado
3 : 0
Folgore Caratese
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)