Sport Picks
Inca Aruba vs Aguila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
El Salvador
Primera Division 
AI Match Summary
Inca Aruba host Aguila in the Primera Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Inca Aruba have averaged 0.72 scored and 1.78 conceded recently, against Aguila's 1.7 scored and 1.22 conceded. Past meetings favor Aguila slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.56) point toward Aguila. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Aguila come out ahead of Inca Aruba on wins alone.
- Model gives Aguila a 74% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Inca Aruba | Aguila |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 27 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Inca Aruba found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (18 games).
Aguila let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
Solid form: Inca Aruba remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Inca Aruba
(Home)Aguila
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Angel Firpo | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 30:13 | 33 |
| 2 | FAS | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Metapan | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 24:19 | 31 |
| 4 | Aguila | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34:24 | 30 |
| 5 | Inter Santa Tecla | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 24:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Platense Municipal | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 27 |
| 7 | Alianza FC | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Atletico Balboa | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Cacahuatique | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19:29 | 16 |
| 11 | Inca Aruba | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13:32 | 16 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | 12 |
