Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inca Aruba vs Alianza FC

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza FC in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Inca Aruba
20%
Draws
38%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inca Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alianza FC lately — more wins on the board than Inca Aruba.
  • Inca Aruba are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inca Aruba Alianza FC
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inca Aruba 51 / 100
Alianza FC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inca Aruba Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alianza FC conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Alianza FC registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inca Aruba VS Alianza FC
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inca Aruba

(Home)

Alianza FC

(Away)
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Alianza FC
4 : 2
Zacatecoluca FC
21 Apr
Metapan
1 : 1
Alianza FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Metapan11004:23
2FAS11003:13
3Atletico Balboa10100:01
4Inter Santa Tecla10100:01
5Luis Angel Firpo00000:00
6Aguila00000:00
7Alianza FC00000:00
8Platense Municipal00000:00
9Fuerte San Francisco00000:00
10Inca Aruba00000:00
11Cacahuatique10012:40
12Municipal Limeno10011:30
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)