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Inca Aruba vs Atletico Balboa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Barahona J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Inca Aruba and Atletico Balboa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inca Aruba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Inca Aruba
30%
Draws
23%
Atletico Balboa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inca Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Balboa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Inca Aruba a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Balboa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inca Aruba Atletico Balboa
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 0.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Primera Division
Inca Aruba vs Atletico Balboa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inca Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Barahona J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atletico Balboa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inca Aruba 36 / 100
Atletico Balboa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inca Aruba Atletico Balboa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inca Aruba scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Balboa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Inca Aruba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Balboa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inca Aruba VS Atletico Balboa
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inca Aruba

(Home)
05 Oct
FAS
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 3

Atletico Balboa

(Away)
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
29 Sept
Atletico Balboa
0 : 2
Cacahuatique
27 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Atletico Balboa
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
12 Sept
Atletico Balboa
3 : 1
Platense Municipal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
2 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
3 FAS 12 7 3 2 22:11 24
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Alianza FC 12 4 6 2 19:17 18
7 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
8 Platense Municipal 14 4 4 6 15:19 16
9 Inca Aruba 14 4 4 6 12:23 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Cacahuatique 14 2 5 7 14:24 11
12 Fuerte San Francisco 14 1 6 7 9:23 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)