Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inca Aruba vs FAS

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tejada R.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Medrano E.
80' Event
Bonilla N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Inca Aruba and FAS finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Inca Aruba
20%
Draws
45%
FAS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FAS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • FAS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 20%
FAS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inca Aruba FAS
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 3 20
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Primera Division
Inca Aruba vs FAS
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inca Aruba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Medrano E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonilla N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inca Aruba 32 / 100
FAS 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inca Aruba FAS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Inca Aruba scored in 67% of their last 12 games.

Solid form: Inca Aruba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

FAS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Inca Aruba VS FAS
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inca Aruba

(Home)
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
09 Sept
Inca Aruba
1 : 0
Atletico Balboa
06 Sept
Metapan
0 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 3

FAS

(Away)
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
19 Sept
Cacahuatique
0 : 2
FAS
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2
FAS
05 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
FAS
30 Aug
FAS
3 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
2 Metapan 12 7 2 3 17:10 23
3 Luis Angel Firpo 11 6 3 2 18:7 21
4 Inter Santa Tecla 12 5 6 1 17:9 21
5 Municipal Limeno 12 5 2 5 17:15 17
6 Alianza FC 10 3 5 2 15:14 14
7 Aguila 12 3 5 4 16:16 14
8 Atletico Balboa 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
9 Platense Municipal 12 3 4 5 12:16 13
10 Inca Aruba 12 3 3 6 9:21 12
11 Cacahuatique 12 1 5 6 11:20 8
12 Fuerte San Francisco 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)