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Incheon Seogot vs Daejeon Korail

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-9, with Daejeon Korail advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Incheon Seogot
15%
Draws
55%
Daejeon Korail
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Daejeon Korail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Daejeon Korail carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Daejeon Korail a 55% chance of winning this.
  • Daejeon Korail arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Daejeon Korail, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Incheon Seogot Clean Sheet 10%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Seogot Daejeon Korail
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 1 16
Draws 0 6
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 4.75 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Korean Cup
Incheon Seogot vs Daejeon Korail
0:9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon Seogot 10 / 100
Daejeon Korail 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Seogot Daejeon Korail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Daejeon Korail Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Daejeon Korail conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Incheon Seogot scored in 25% of their last 4 games.

Incheon Seogot went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Incheon Seogot VS Daejeon Korail
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Incheon Seogot

(Home)
05 Jul
Geoje
4 : 0
Incheon Seogot
20 Jun
Incheon Seogot
2 : 1
Areum
09 Mar
Incheon Seogot
0 : 9
Daejeon Korail
19 Feb
Incheon Seogot
0 : 5
Yangpyeong

Daejeon Korail

(Away)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Yangsan Eogok 1
Busan Kyotong 2
TBD -
Busan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suwon FC -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyeongju KHNP -
TBD -
Seoul Jungnang 0
Paju Frontier 3
Ulsan Hyundai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gimhae Jaemics 2
Chuncheon 4
TBD -
Incheon -
Gyeongnam -
TBD -
Pyeongchang United 2
Yangpyeong 1
Hyochang 0
Gijang United 4
TBD -
Gimpo FC -
Cheonan City -
TBD -
Cheongsol 0
Pocheon 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohang -
Yeoju Citizen 4
Mokpo 3
TBD -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeju SK -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suwon Bluewings -
TBD -
TBD -
Seoul E-Land -
Incheon Seogot 0
Daejeon Korail 9
TBD -
Cheongju -
Changwon -
TBD -
Geonyung 1
Namyangju 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seoul -
Dangjin Citizen 1
Gangneung 2
TBD -
Chungnam Asan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daejeon -
Jeonbuk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ansan Greeners -
TBD -
Jeonbuk Jeonju 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen 6
Sejong SA 3
Ulsan Citizen 0
TBD -
Jeonnam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anyang -
Daegu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gimhae -
TBD -
Yangcheon TNT 0
Geoje 1
Gangwon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Siheung Citizen -
TBD -
TBD -
Seongnam -
Hwaseong -
TBD -
Jinju Citizen 1
Yeoncheon 0
1/32-finals
Busan Kyotong 2
Busan 1
TBD -
Suwon FC -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
Gyeongju KHNP 4
Paju Frontier 1
Ulsan Hyundai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chuncheon 0
Incheon 3
Gyeongnam 0
Pyeongchang United 3
Gijang United 0
Gimpo FC 4
Cheonan City 1
Pocheon 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohang -
Yeoju Citizen 1
Bucheon FC 1995 3
TBD -
Jeju SK -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
Suwon Bluewings 2
Seoul E-Land 1
Daejeon Korail 1
Cheongju 0
Changwon 1
Namyangju 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seoul -
Gangneung 1
Chungnam Asan 0
TBD -
Daejeon -
Jeonbuk -
TBD -
Ansan Greeners 3
Pyeongtaek Citizen 1
Sejong SA 3
Jeonnam 1
TBD -
Anyang -
Daegu -
TBD -
Gimhae 5
Geoje 1
Gangwon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Siheung Citizen 3
Seongnam 2
Hwaseong 1
Jinju Citizen 0
1/16-finals
Busan Kyotong 1
Suwon FC 2
Gwangju FC 2
Gyeongju KHNP 0
Ulsan Hyundai -
TBD -
Incheon 2
Pyeongchang United 1
Gimpo FC 2
Cheonan City 1
TBD -
Pohang -
Bucheon FC 1995 1
Jeju SK 0
Gimcheon Sangmu 2
Suwon Bluewings 0
Daejeon Korail 3
Namyangju 0
TBD -
Seoul -
Gangneung 1
Daejeon 2
Jeonbuk 3
Ansan Greeners 0
Sejong SA 0
Anyang 1
Daegu 2
Gimhae 0
Gangwon -
TBD -
Siheung Citizen 1
Hwaseong 0
1/8-finals
Suwon FC 1
Gwangju FC 2
Ulsan Hyundai 3
Incheon 0
Gimpo FC 2
Pohang 1
Bucheon FC 1995 3
Gimcheon Sangmu 1
Daejeon Korail 1
Seoul 2
Daejeon 2
Jeonbuk 3
Anyang 1
Daegu 2
Gangwon 2
Siheung Citizen 1
Quarter-finals
Gwangju FC 1
Ulsan Hyundai 0
Gimpo FC 1
Bucheon FC 1995 3
Seoul 0
Jeonbuk 1
Daegu 1
Gangwon 2
Semi-finals
Gwangju FC 4
Bucheon FC 1995 1
Jeonbuk 3
Gangwon 2
Final
Gwangju FC 1
Jeonbuk 2