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Incheon vs Anyang

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Sungui Arena Park
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kwon Kyung-Won
Assist: Matheus Oliveira
9'
Kim Jung-Hyun
46'
Sub
Gerso In: Mugosa S.
Out: Gerso

AI Match Summary

Anyang in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Anyang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Incheon
20%
Draws
38%
Anyang
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Anyang at 1.63 per game, Incheon at 1.
  • Incheon are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Anyang here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Incheon Clean Sheet 20%
Anyang Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Anyang
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Anyang
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 K League 1
Anyang vs Incheon
0:1
Apr 14, 2021 Korean Cup
Incheon vs Anyang
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Incheon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Anyang Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwon Kyung-Won
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon 42 / 100
Anyang 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Anyang

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anyang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Incheon's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Incheon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Incheon VS Anyang
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Jeonbuk1785425:1529
3Gangwon1777321:1128
4Pohang1784518:1428
5Ulsan Hyundai1783624:2427
6Anyang1758422:1923
7Incheon1763821:1921
8Jeju SK1755714:1720
9Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
10Daejeon1746719:1818
11Gimcheon Sangmu17210517:2316
12Gwangju FC1715118:418