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Incheon vs Bucheon FC 1995 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Galego
43' Event
Mugosa S.
Assist: Leandro Ribeiro
45'
Gustavo Nescau

AI Match Summary

Incheon in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Incheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Incheon
35%
Draws
19%
Bucheon FC 1995
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Incheon have won more games recently than Bucheon FC 1995.
  • Incheon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Incheon Clean Sheet 68%
Bucheon FC 1995 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Bucheon FC 1995
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Bucheon FC 1995
2:1
Jul 26, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Bucheon FC 1995
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 K League 1
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Incheon
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 K League 2
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Incheon
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 K League 2
Incheon vs Bucheon FC 1995
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Incheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugosa S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibiza J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bucheon FC 1995 Compare

Top Goalscorer Galego
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon 95 / 100
Bucheon FC 1995 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Bucheon FC 1995

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Incheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Incheon found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Bucheon FC 1995 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Incheon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Incheon VS Bucheon FC 1995
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Incheon

(Home)
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
Page 1 of 6

Bucheon FC 1995

(Away)
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 5
Daejeon
29 Aug
Bucheon FC 1995
1 : 1
Anyang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)