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Incheon vs Gangwon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Kim Dae-Won
44' Event
Kim Dae-Won
Assist: Kang Joon-Hyuck
46'
Sub
Lee Dong-Ryul In: Gerso
Out: Lee Dong-Ryul

AI Match Summary

Gangwon in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gangwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Incheon
20%
Draws
38%
Gangwon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Gangwon have won more games recently than Incheon.
  • Win probability leans Incheon's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gangwon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Incheon Clean Sheet 20%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Gangwon
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 14
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
1:3
Jun 30, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 K League 1
Gangwon vs Incheon
4:1
Sep 24, 2023 K League 1
Gangwon vs Incheon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Incheon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gangwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Dae-Won
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon 42 / 100
Gangwon 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Gangwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Incheon scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Incheon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gangwon has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Incheon VS Gangwon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Incheon

(Home)
29 Jul
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Incheon
26 Jul
Incheon
1 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
21 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 2
Incheon
18 Jul
Incheon
1 : 0
Jeonbuk
12 Jul
Incheon
0 : 1
Anyang
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Gangwon

(Away)
26 Jul
Anyang
2 : 1
Gangwon
21 Jul
Jeju SK
1 : 1
Gangwon
18 Jul
Gangwon
2 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Jul
Vietnam
2 : 1
Gangwon
12 Jul
Seoul
0 : 0
Gangwon
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul20133435:1742
2Jeonbuk2096527:1633
3Gangwon2188525:1732
4Ulsan Hyundai2094730:2931
5Anyang2079428:2330
6Incheon2084825:2128
7Pohang2184920:2228
8Jeju SK2076719:2027
9Gimcheon Sangmu21411622:2823
10Bucheon FC 19952158821:2523
11Daejeon2048823:2320
12Gwangju FC20171211:4510
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)