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Incomati Xinavane vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2022 game between Incomati Xinavane and Costa do Sol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Incomati Xinavane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Incomati Xinavane
30%
Draws
42%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Costa do Sol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Costa do Sol a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mocambola 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Incomati Xinavane Clean Sheet 20%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incomati Xinavane Costa do Sol
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.57 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2022 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Costa do Sol
1:0
Aug 21, 2022 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Incomati Xinavane
2:0
Aug 11, 2021 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Costa do Sol
1:1
Jan 24, 2021 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Incomati Xinavane
2:1
Sep 22, 2019 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Incomati Xinavane
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incomati Xinavane 28 / 100
Costa do Sol 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incomati Xinavane Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Incomati Xinavane has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Incomati Xinavane's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Costa do Sol conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Costa do Sol
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Incomati Xinavane

(Home)
04 Dec
Incomati Xinavane
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
27 Nov
UD Songo
0 : 0
Incomati Xinavane
20 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
13 Nov
Matchedje Mocuba
3 : 1
Incomati Xinavane
06 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
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Costa do Sol

(Away)
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
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