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Incomati Xinavane vs ENH Vilankulo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Incomati Xinavane in this Mocambola 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Incomati Xinavane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Incomati Xinavane
35%
Draws
30%
ENH Vilankulo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Incomati Xinavane haven't matched ENH Vilankulo's recent run of results.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Incomati Xinavane Clean Sheet 20%
ENH Vilankulo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incomati Xinavane ENH Vilankulo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 12 14
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Incomati Xinavane
1:1
Jun 19, 2022 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs ENH Vilankulo
1:0
Sep 17, 2021 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs ENH Vilankulo
3:0
May 22, 2021 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Incomati Xinavane
0:0
Sep 15, 2019 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs ENH Vilankulo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incomati Xinavane 32 / 100
ENH Vilankulo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incomati Xinavane ENH Vilankulo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENH Vilankulo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ENH Vilankulo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Incomati Xinavane went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Incomati Xinavane scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS ENH Vilankulo
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Incomati Xinavane

(Home)
04 Dec
Incomati Xinavane
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
27 Nov
UD Songo
0 : 0
Incomati Xinavane
20 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
13 Nov
Matchedje Mocuba
3 : 1
Incomati Xinavane
06 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
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ENH Vilankulo

(Away)
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0
Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
16 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
13 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
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