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Incomati Xinavane vs Ferroviario Beira

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Incomati Xinavane
35%
Draws
37%
Ferroviario Beira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviario Beira have won more games recently than Incomati Xinavane.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviario Beira's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Incomati Xinavane Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incomati Xinavane Ferroviario Beira
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.57 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2022 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Ferroviario Beira
0:0
Sep 21, 2022 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Incomati Xinavane
1:1
Aug 22, 2021 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Ferroviario Beira
0:1
Feb 7, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Incomati Xinavane
3:0
Aug 17, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Incomati Xinavane
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incomati Xinavane 28 / 100
Ferroviario Beira 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incomati Xinavane Ferroviario Beira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Beira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Incomati Xinavane stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Incomati Xinavane scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ferroviario Beira conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario Beira
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.13
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Incomati Xinavane

(Home)
04 Dec
Incomati Xinavane
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
27 Nov
UD Songo
0 : 0
Incomati Xinavane
20 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
13 Nov
Matchedje Mocuba
3 : 1
Incomati Xinavane
06 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
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Ferroviario Beira

(Away)
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
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