Sport Picks
Ind. Medellin W vs Once Caldas W
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado 
Match Events
12'
12'
Cardona M.
Assist: Gonzalez A.
27'
27'
Castillo V.
Assist: Munera M.
31'
31'
Munera M.
Assist: Gonzalez A.
AI Match Summary
Ind. Medellin W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ind. Medellin W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ind. Medellin W lately — more wins on the board than Once Caldas W.
- 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Ind. Medellin W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ind. Medellin W Clean Sheet 20%
Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ind. Medellin W | Once Caldas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2026 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Once Caldas W
3:0
May 26, 2025 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Ind. Medellin W
0:2
Aug 18, 2019 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Once Caldas W
1:0
Jul 20, 2019 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Ind. Medellin W
0:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ind. Medellin W Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardona M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castillo V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Once Caldas W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ind. Medellin W 36 / 100
Once Caldas W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ind. Medellin W Once Caldas W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Once Caldas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ind. Medellin W's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Once Caldas W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Ind. Medellin W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ind. Medellin W VS Once Caldas W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ind. Medellin W
(Home) 20 Aug
Ind. Medellin W
0 : 3 America de Cali W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1 Ind. Medellin W
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0 Orsomarso W
Page 1 of 7
20 Aug
Ind. Medellin W
0 : 3 America de Cali W
24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0 Orsomarso W
10 May
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 0 Bucaramanga W
28 Apr
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 0 Once Caldas W
Page 1 of 3
Once Caldas W
(Away) 20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1 Once Caldas W
02 Aug
Once Caldas W
0 : 0 Inter Palmira W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1 Once Caldas W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0 Once Caldas W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0 Llaneros W
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20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1 Once Caldas W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1 Once Caldas W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0 Once Caldas W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Once Caldas W
28 Apr
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 0 Once Caldas W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
