Sport Picks

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Ind. Yumbo vs Aguilas Doradas

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ind. Yumbo play Aguilas Doradas in the Copa Colombia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ind. Yumbo averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Aguilas Doradas averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Ind. Yumbo won 0, Aguilas Doradas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Ind. Yumbo and 1.38 for Aguilas Doradas. This points to a Aguilas Doradas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ind. Yumbo
34%
Draws
41%
Aguilas Doradas
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Aguilas Doradas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ind. Yumbo picked up more points recently compared to Aguilas Doradas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Ind. Yumbo Clean Sheet 17%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Yumbo Aguilas Doradas
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.79 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Copa Colombia
Ind. Yumbo vs Aguilas Doradas
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Yumbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mena H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Aguilas Doradas Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivaldo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Yumbo 26 / 100
Aguilas Doradas 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Yumbo Aguilas Doradas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aguilas Doradas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ind. Yumbo attacking → ← attacking Aguilas Doradas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Yumbo scored in 58% of their last 19 games.

Aguilas Doradas let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ind. Yumbo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas Doradas lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 45
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101