Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Indep. Santa Fe W vs Atl. Nacional W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio El Campín
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Zamorano M.
41'
Garcia S.
44' Event
Restrepo K.
Assist: Cedeno S.

AI Match Summary

Indep. Santa Fe W in this Liga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indep. Santa Fe W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Indep. Santa Fe W
20%
Draws
38%
Atl. Nacional W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Nacional W lately — more wins on the board than Indep. Santa Fe W.
  • Model gives Indep. Santa Fe W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Atl. Nacional W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:3
Aug 28, 2025 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Atl. Nacional W
3:1
Aug 5, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:0
Jun 5, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:1
Jul 7, 2024 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mosquera H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Restrepo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 42 / 100
Atl. Nacional W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Atl. Nacional W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Indep. Santa Fe W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Indep. Santa Fe W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Atl. Nacional W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indep. Santa Fe W VS Atl. Nacional W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orsomarso W63309:312
2Dep. Cali W62317:39
3Ind. Medellin W61327:126
4Inter Palmira W60333:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W650111:515
2Indep. Santa Fe W62135:67
3America de Cali W61325:86
4Millonarios W61236:85