Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Indep. Santa Fe W vs Atl. Nacional W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio El Campín
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indep. Santa Fe W play Atl. Nacional W in the Liga Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Indep. Santa Fe W averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Atl. Nacional W averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. In past meetings, Indep. Santa Fe W won 1, Atl. Nacional W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 25, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Indep. Santa Fe W and 1.06 for Atl. Nacional W. This points to a Atl. Nacional W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Indep. Santa Fe W
20%
Draws
45%
Atl. Nacional W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Nacional W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Indep. Santa Fe W picked up more points recently compared to Atl. Nacional W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 22%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Atl. Nacional W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 16 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.39 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Atl. Nacional W
0:3
Aug 28, 2025 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Atl. Nacional W
3:1
Aug 5, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:0
Jun 5, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:1
Jul 7, 2024 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cedeno S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibarguen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 36 / 100
Atl. Nacional W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Atl. Nacional W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atl. Nacional W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Indep. Santa Fe W attacking → ← attacking Atl. Nacional W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Atl. Nacional W let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Indep. Santa Fe W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Atl. Nacional W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 66
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243