Sport Picks
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Ind. Medellin W
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio El Campín, Bogotá 
Match Events
4'
4'
Zamorano M.
Assist: Perez A.
31'
31'
Zamorano M.
Assist: Marcano T.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Women game between Indep. Santa Fe W and Ind. Medellin W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indep. Santa Fe W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Indep. Santa Fe W come out ahead of Ind. Medellin W on wins alone.
- Model gives Indep. Santa Fe W a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Indep. Santa Fe W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 68%
Ind. Medellin W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Indep. Santa Fe W | Ind. Medellin W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Ind. Medellin W
2:0
May 6, 2025 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:2
Jun 29, 2024 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Ind. Medellin W
3:1
Jun 22, 2024 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Ind. Medellin W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Indep. Santa Fe W Compare
Top Goalscorer Zamorano M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Ind. Medellin W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Indep. Santa Fe W 95 / 100
Ind. Medellin W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Indep. Santa Fe W Ind. Medellin W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Indep. Santa Fe W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Indep. Santa Fe W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
Ind. Medellin W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Indep. Santa Fe W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Indep. Santa Fe W VS Ind. Medellin W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.8
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Indep. Santa Fe W
(Home) 26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3 Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2 Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 8
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3 Dep. Cali W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2 Millonarios W
09 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
0 : 0 Dep. Cali W
02 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
1 : 1 America de Cali W
25 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
3 : 0 Orsomarso W
Page 1 of 4
Ind. Medellin W
(Away) 20 Aug
Ind. Medellin W
0 : 3 America de Cali W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1 Ind. Medellin W
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0 Orsomarso W
Page 1 of 7
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1 Ind. Medellin W
17 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
01 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
15 Apr
Junior W
3 : 2 Ind. Medellin W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
