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Indep. Santa Fe W vs Independiente del Valle W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2024 Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Wed, Oct 16, 2024
2 - 1
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Roldan C.
Assist: Zambrano A.
29' Event
Reyes C.
34'
Lomas A.

AI Match Summary

Indep. Santa Fe W in this Copa Libertadores Women 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Indep. Santa Fe W
20%
Draws
40%
Independiente del Valle W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Indep. Santa Fe W lately — more wins on the board than Independiente del Valle W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Indep. Santa Fe W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Indep. Santa Fe W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Indep. Santa Fe W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 20%
Independiente del Valle W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Independiente del Valle W
Matches Played 32 13
Wins 14 5
Draws 9 2
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.69 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Copa Libertadores Women
Independiente del Valle W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:0
Oct 16, 2024 Copa Libertadores Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Independiente del Valle W
2:1
Oct 7, 2024 Copa Libertadores Women
Independiente del Valle W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Independiente del Valle W Compare

Top Goalscorer Roldan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 32 / 100
Independiente del Valle W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Independiente del Valle W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Independiente del Valle W conceded in 62% of 13 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Indep. Santa Fe W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indep. Santa Fe W VS Independiente del Valle W
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Home)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 7

Independiente del Valle W

(Away)
11 Oct
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Independiente del Valle W
08 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
5 : 0
Always Ready W
05 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
1 : 0
Indep. Santa Fe W
02 Oct
Corinthians W
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle W
19 Oct
Boca Juniors W
2 : 0
Independiente del Valle W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corinthians W 2
Olimpia Asuncion W 0
Santos W 0
Boca Juniors W 1
Indep. Santa Fe W 2
A. Lima W 0
Dep. Cali W 0
Independiente del Valle W 3
Semi-finals
Corinthians W 1
Boca Juniors W 0
Indep. Santa Fe W 2
Independiente del Valle W 1
Final
Corinthians W 2
Indep. Santa Fe W 0
Boca Juniors W 2
Independiente del Valle W 0